Introduction
The last time anyone went to the moon the primary purpose of the trip
was to win a race. Everything else was secondary to that and there was
no other purpose, at least for those holding the purse strings. This had
the consequence that everything was sacrificed to the altar of getting there
FIRST. The approach chosen was to make the trip with a
single launch carrying everything needed to get there, land and return.
The result was a 3000 Tonne rocket to deliver 45 Tonnes to lunar orbit
and return a 5.6 Tonne command module to Earth. Leaving nothing of value
anywhere after the mission was complete.
For the intended purpose of beating the Soviet Union to the landing this
design was probably optimal. For the purpose of travelling to and from
the moon for any other purpose it was a terrible approach.
Proposed here is an approach optimised for travelling to and from the moon
at a minimum cost and maximising the return in space going infrastructure
and resources. Attempting this approach in the 1960s would almost certainly
have lost the race for the USA, but might well have yielded a moon base before
the century was out.
The key components of this approach are:
- A reusable lunar lander that remains in lunar orbit when not in use
- A resuable orbital transfer vehicle (OTV) that remains in Earth orbit
when not in use
- A solar electric tug (SET) to haul material from Earth orbit to lunar orbit
- Commercial launches of up to 50 Tonnes on Falcon Heavy
The spacegoing vehicles only need to be launched once, after that only fuel,
crew and supplies are launched for subsequent missions. The details below
are one possible set, there are many easy variations to the designs following
the general principles outlined above.
All vehicles should be capable of fully automated operation, except for
loading, unloading and (re)fueling. There is no reason to depend on
the kind of skill Neil Armstrong needed to land safely.
Each mission will require several launches on the 50 Tonne capacity Falcon
Heavy at a launch cost of $100m per launch. This compares very favourably
with the multi (45) billion dollar projected cost of each SLS launch.
Chemical rockets may be liquid or solid fueled, for calculation purposes
we simply assume an exhast speed of 3000m/s. We also require that all vehicles
can be refueled on orbit (Earth or lunar). A solid fuel cartridge may be the
most effective design for bulk accelerations along with some kind of
restartable liquid fueled motor for fine tuning and landing.
The figures in brackets are for a proof-of-concept ultra small mission
that collects and returns a few kilograms from the lunar surface using
a tiny solar tug to take a tiny lander there and return with the samples.
With a total launch mass of just over 200kg it would be the cheapest ever
moonshot.
Vehicles
Solar Electric Tug
This is a key factor in keeping costs down, it will use low thrust trajectories
to ferry bulk materials and the lunar lander itself to lunar orbit cheaply
but slowly. Each trip may take weeks to reach lunar orbit which is fine
because nothing living will travel that way and we're not trying to win
races.
These vehicles should be cheap and light, they consist of PV panels, low thrust
Xenon ion engines and payload attachments. They will make one way trips to
the moon, which will result in them being available in lunar orbit as power
sources (the PV panels) or bulk return vehicles or even to carry things to
elsewhere in the solar system.
The total delta-V for a moon orbit transfer is around 4km/s, an acceleration
of 1mm/s/s will achieve this in 4 million seconds or 46 days. This implies
a force of 50 Newtons pushing the 50 tonne mass.
The CAT thruster
claims 2mN for 10W (or 5kw/N) so 250kW would provide the necessary 50N which
amounts to 1000m^2 of solar panels. The only thing is no other thruster
seems to claim anything like this power to thrust ratio.
In the table below a conservative exhaust speed has been chosen deliberately
a more realistic estimate might be 50% higher. This will be a general principle
throughout the rest of this document, conservative performance figures and
generous dry mass allocations.
Dry Mass |
5 Tonnes (50kg) |
Payload to lunar Orbit |
35 Tonnes (100kg there, 5kg back) |
Exhaust Speed |
20000m/s |
Xenon Capacity |
10 Tonnes (51kg) |
Launch Mass - including payload |
50 Tonnes (201kg) |
Launch Mass - excluding payload |
15 Tonnes (101kg) |
These vehicles will mainly be used to transport fuel to lunar orbit, in
this use they will be launched complete with payload. They should be
refuelable on orbit by pumping Xenon into the fuel tank and they should
have power takeoff attachments to allow them to be used as power sources.
Because of the low thrust payload attachments can be simple and light.
Tugs will be fully automatic, although they will require manual work to
attach and detach payloads as well as to refuel if they are reused.
Lunar Lander
This needs to be robust and reliable rather than the absolute minimum
mass design used in the Apollo missions. The engine(s) must be restartable
indefinitely and have good fine thrust control. For a estimation purposes
a dry mass of 10 Tonnes is used (double that of the Apollo lander).
This vehicle spends its entire life in lunar orbit, on the moon or
travelling between the moon and lunar orbit. It will be ferried to
the moon using SET which can also carry 25 tonnes of fuel at the
same time, the alternative would be to burn 30 tonnes of fuel to
get it there dry.
Dry Mass |
10 Tonnes (20kg) |
Payload |
5 Tonnes (up and down) (5kg) |
Fuel Capacity |
50 Tonnes (75kg) |
The five tonne payload assumes the same mass is landed and returned to
lunar orbit. It could also deliver 10 tonnes to the surface and return
empty or anything in between.
Starting in lunar orbit with a full payload and 50 tonnes of fuel it
will land with just over 18.3 tonnes of fuel remaining and achieve
orbit again with just over 2 tonnes of fuel remaining. This is based
on a generous delta-v of 2km/s between lunar orbit and the lunar surface.
Orbital Transfer Vehicle
This is primarily for people and the supplies they need while traveling.
Everything else can be moved much more cheaply, albeit slowly, using the
tugs. Like the lander it must be robust and reliable. It can use a combination
of liquid fueled precision rockets and solid fueled boosters.
Using chemical rockets instead of solar electric propulsion enables it
to take the quick, high thrust trajectories, similar to those used by
Apollo, and necessary for carrying people. Unlike the Apollo command
and service module this should be relatively roomy and comfortable. It
cannot have been pleasant lying in spacesuits packed like sardines.
The fuel capacity is generous for a one way trip to the moon (minimum
would be 60 Tonnes). This allows for variations and a little lattitude
in the payload. It should be possible to part fill it for lower payloads.
A variable fuel capacity based on attaching tanks may be desirable to
enable it to be used for longer duration journeys such as Mars or the
Asteroids.
Dry Mass |
10 Tonnes |
Payload |
10 Tonnes |
Fuel Capacity |
70 Tonnes |
Re-entry Vehicle
This is the simplest component in many ways, with many options including
using existing designs such as the SpaceX Dragon or a hypersonic glider.
For the purpose of calculations a launch mass of 10 tonnes is assumed.
The only real requirement is that it can dock with the OTV and return
a sufficient payload to earth safely.
Missions
General
Earth to orbit launches are assumed to be done using Falcon Heavy vehicles
with a payload to LEO of 50 Tonnes at a cost of $100m. This is using them
in their reusable configuration to minimise costs and wastage. If Superheavy
is available the launch costs can be expected to be substantially lower.
Preparation
Unlike the Apollo missions where everything launches together on a single
rocket this system requires some preparatory launches and movements before
it is ready for use by people. It is necessary to lift the lunar lander
and transfer it to lunar orbit, implying lifting a SET to carry it.
With that in place it is necessary to lift the OTV to earth orbit.
For each mission it is necessary to lift the fuel to take the OTV to
lunar orbit. Also it is necessary to lift and transport to lunar orbit
the fuel required for landing and the return of the OTV which will arrive
in lunar orbit with only the reserve fuel.
For the peace of mind of all concerned it is desirable that all the resources
to be ferried to the moon by SETs arrive before anyone
leaves in the OTV.
Lunar Lander Deployment
This can be achieved with a single launch carring the following.
- SET fully fueled - 15 tonnes
- Lander - 10 tonnes
- Fuel (in lander) - 25 tonnes
Once launched the SET carries the lander with 25 tonnes of fuel to lunar orbit.
Fuel Deployment
Carrying fuel in a chemically powered rocket is a very effective way of
wasting fuel all of which has to be launched at $2000 per kilogram. So
let's not do that.
A landing and ascent to lunar orbit requires 50 tonnes of fuel. The return
from lunar orbit to Earth orbit requires 70 tonnes of fuel. A total of 120
tonnes of fuel must be available in lunar orbit. Initially there is 25
tonnes of fuel in the lunar lander.
Three SETs can carry 105 tonnes of fuel which alongside the 25 already there
is 130 tonnes of fuel. So there will be 10 tonnes stockpiled in lunar orbit
after the first mission, along with whatever is left in the lander's tanks.
A fully fueled SET masses 15 tonnes, the payload of fuel is 35 tonnes. So
three launches will suffice to position the fuel in lunar orbit.
At this point there are also four SETs in lunar orbit. They can be left there
as resources to be used in lunar orbit (recharging batteries in the OTV and
lander for example) or taken down to the lunar surface to provide power there
or returned to earth orbit if Xenon is made available or even used later for
low thrust missions to other destinations.
OTV
This can be launched with an initial fuel load of 40 tonnes, which would
require only another 30 tonnes of fuel to completely fuel it.
First Mission
In addition to what has already been launched and put into place there's
10 tonnes of people, equipment and supplies. A 10 tonne re-entry vehicle
and 30 tonnes of fuel for the OTV needed. All of that fits on one launch.
Summary
First mission launches - resources in lunar orbit
- Lunar Lander to lunar orbit - 25 tonnes fuel, 1 LL
- 35 tonnes fuel to lunar orbit - 60 tonnes fuel, 2 SETs, 1 LL
- 35 tonnes fuel to lunar orbit - 95 tonnes fuel, 3 SETs, 1 LL
- 35 tonnes fuel to lunar orbit - 130 tonnes fuel, 4 SETs, 1 LL
- OTV + 40 tonnes fuel - 130 tonnes fuel, 4 SETs, 1 LL
- People, equipment, supplies (10 tonnes), Re-entry (10 tonnes), 30 tonnes of fuel
A total of six launches $600m in launch costs. At the end of the mission
we have the OTV in Earth orbit ready to be fueled and reused, the lunar
lander in lunar orbit ready to be fuelled and reused, four SETs in lunar
orbit and 10 tonnes of fuel stockpiled in lunar orbit.
Second mission launches - resources in lunar orbit
- 35 tonnes fuel to lunar orbit - 45 tonnes fuel, 5 SETs, 1 LL
- 35 tonnes fuel to lunar orbit - 80 tonnes fuel, 6 SETs, 1 LL
- 35 tonnes fuel to lunar orbit - 115 tonnes fuel, 7 SETs, 1 LL
- 35 tonnes fuel to lunar orbit - 150 tonnes fuel, 8 SETs, 1 LL
- 50 tonnes fuel to Earth orbit
- People, equipment, supplies (10 tonnes), Re-entry (10 tonnes) 30 tonnes of fuel
A total of six launches $600m in launch costs. At the end of the mission
we have the OTV in Earth orbit ready to be fueled and reused, the lunar
lander in lunar orbit ready to be fuelled and reused, eight SETs in lunar
orbit and 30 tonnes of fuel stockpiled in lunar orbit. The next mission
will only need five launches to leave things the way they were after the
first mission.
Incremental Development
Rather than a complete mission with all the equipment and risking people
it is feasible to first launch and test the lander and its autopilot.
This would require launching the lander fully fueled and an SET with
a larger Xenon tank to ferry the lander, a total mass of 80 tonnes
which would require two launches and end with a tested lander in
lunar orbit with dry tanks.
Conclusions
An average of 5.5 launches per trip to the moon and back carrying 10
tonnes each way means launch costs averaging $550m per trip with each
trip leaving usable resources (SETs) in lunar orbit.
Two launches would take enough Xenon to fuel 7 of the SETs and leave
two more SETs in lunar orbit. Additional OTVs or landers could be deployed
with a single launch each.
Two missions for $1.1B in launch costs. If we spend $5B on developing and
building the vehicles and $400m on the payload and fuel for each mission then
we get 26 trips to the moon and back and some change from the $45B estimated
for a single SLS launch.